2026-03-09
Should I make a failed assassination attempt?
Disclaimer
- Quick Note
- Contains politically sensitive info
Main
- Multiple thoughts from lots of previous ideas combined:
- Actually successfully stopping the ASI race via assassinations requires atleast a hundred simultaneous assassinations. Too hard compared to other plans. Maintaining trust, chain of command, etc is hard for private militias.
- I think the vibes are too non-violent on all sides. Dario Amodei speeches too peaceful, while he talks of 10-25% probability of civilisational catastrophe, or chernobyl-scale disasters to wake up the public, or country of geniuses in a datacentre in 4 years. Pause AI deepmind protest slogans were so lame. AI employees are so casual about their work, atleast some of them.
- Gwern agrees the point of assassinations is often propaganda not actually being effective at maximising kills.
- Since I am not an exceptionally good liar, I must become propaganda not create propaganda. I can convincingly persuade others of things only if I am convinced myself. I can spread violent vibes to others, only if I have violent vibes.
- The best way to spread violent vibes is not to talk about spreading violent vibes, it is to actually be violent.
- Conclusion - I should deliberately make a failed assassination attempt at one of the AI CEOs. Like, take a gun and fire at them in a way that ensures they don't actually get shot.
- Atleast the temperature will raise on both sides of the conflict, if I do this.
- I'll go to prison for a few years at minimum, that's not actually the main issue with this. I might be ok going to prison if I was convinced this is the most effective thing to do.
- Obviously me publicly talking of crimes like this, online, makes it harder for me to succeed without getting caught.
- I still am hoping to find some more effective option, but honestly, the logic checks out to me so far.
- Honestly I think the cyberattack plan is lowkey similar. It is actually perceived by the public as somewhat violent (even though I don't think it is that violent). The very fact I am attempting this has propaganda value, independent of whether I succeed or not.
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